1.1 Conclusions

1.2 Report Findings

1.2.1 Cable/DSL Replacement
1.2.2 Impact of WiMAX
1.2.3 Mobility Needs Time
1.2.4 Competition Remains
1.2.5 Political Challenges

1.3 Summary Figures

1.3.1 WiMAX users
1.3.2 WiMAX equipment
1.3.3 Global BWA subscribers
1.3.4 Global broadband subscribers
1.3.5 BWA penetration
1.3.6 Global mobile voice subscribers

Section Two

802.16 / WiMAX

2.1 Definition

2.2 802.16 2004 Variations

2.2.1 WirelessMAN-SC
2.2.2 WirelessMAN-SCa
2.2.3 WirelessMAN-OFDM
2.2.4 WirelessMAN-OFDMA
2.2.5 WirelessHUMAN

2.3 802.16 Active Projects

2.3.1 802.16e
2.3.2 802.16f and 802.16g
2.3.3 802.16h

2.4 Participation

2.5 Support Organizations

2.5.1 WiMAX
2.5.2 Cetecom

2.6 Market segments

2.7 Capabilities/Expectations

2.7.1 Bandwidth
2.7.2 Range
2.7.3 Spectral efficiency
2.7.4 Bands
2.7.5 Channel sizes
2.7.6 MAC and services
2.7.7 N-LoS

2.8 Competitive Options

2.8.1 Proprietary systems
2.8.2 802.20
2.8.3 802.11
2.8.4 Mobile standards

2.9 Time to Market

2.9.1 Chipsets
2.9.2 Certified Equipment
2.9.3 Deployment and services

2.10 Pricing

2.10.1 CPE
2.10.2 Base Stations
2.10.3 Chipsets

2.11 Product Attributes

2.11.1 Air interface
2.11.2 Duplexing
2.11.3 Bands

2.12 Discussion

2.12.1 Operators
2.12.2 System supplier support
2.12.3 Will 802.16/WiMAX Solve the Problem?
2.12.4 802.16 as 4G
2.12.5 Will 802.16e Delay the Market?
2.12.6 802.16 2004 vs. 802.16e
2.12.7 Political Considerations
2.12.8 Carriers against WiMAX
2.12.9 Technical Hurdles
2.12.10 An Impact regardless of Role

2.13 Figures

2.13.1 Global WiMAX users and service revenues
2.13.2 Asia Pacific WiMAX users and service revenues
2.13.3 Europe WiMAX users and service revenues
2.13.4 North America WiMAX users and service revenues
2.13.5 Latin America and Caribbean WiMAX users and service revenues
2.13.6 Middle East and Africa WiMAX users and service revenues
2.13.7 WiMAX Users: 802.16d vs. 802.16e
2.13.8 WiMAX Users: Commercial vs. Residential
2.13.9 Global WiBro Users
2.13.10 Global WiMAX CPE shipments and revenues
2.13.11 Global WiMAX CPE shipments by revision (802.16e, 802.16d)
2.13.12 Global WiMAX compliant CPE shipments for 2.4 GHz and revenues
2.13.13 Global WiMAX CPE shipments for 2.5 GHz and revenues
2.13.14 Global WiMAX CPE shipments for 3.5 GHz and revenues
2.13.15 Global WiMAX CPE shipments for 5 GHz - 6 GHz and revenues
2.13.16 Global WiMAX CPE shipments on other bands and revenues
2.13.14 Global WiMAX base station deployments
2.13.15 Global WiMAX total equipment revenues
2.13.16 Global WiMAX chipset shipments and revenues

2.14 Conclusions

2.14.1 A worldwide opportunity
2.14.2 Different carriers, different visions
2.14.3 A push for 802.16e
2.14.4 More than mobility
2.14.5 A comment on expectations
2.14.6 Securing a beachhead

Section Three

Broadband Wireless Access Segment Review

3.1 A Quick Status Report

3.2 Past Failures

3.3 Causes

3.3.1 Limited capabilities
3.3.2 High costs
3.3.3 No volumes and standards
3.3.4 Over-aggressive expansion
3.3.5 Lack of differentiation
3.3.6 Lack of marketing efficiencies
3.3.7 Lack of network scale

3.4 Solutions

3.4.1 Technical solutions
3.4.2 Business model solutions

3.4.2.1 Alliances with municipalities
3.4.2.2 Mobile and fixed wireless convergence
3.4.2.3 Standards implemented and followed
3.4.2.4 Resolution, are the issues resolved?

3.5 BWA Success Analysis

3.5.1 Is BWA ready for the mass market?

3.6 Frequency Bands

3.7 Market Issues

3.7.1 N-LoS
3.7.2 Single carrier vs. OFDM

3.8 Economics – cost of subscribers and CPEs

3.9 Competitive Threats

3.10 Market Trends

3.10.1 Sub 1 GHz spectrum
3.10.2 Public safety
3.10.3 WiMAX absorbs attention
3.10.4 Non-WiMAX still here
3.10.5 Major contracts hinge on mobility
3.10.6 Narrowband applications drive market
3.10.7 Downward pricings trends
3.10.8 WiFi just got better
3.10.9 Major mobile carriers consider triple play
3.10.10 Timing
3.10.11 Proprietary solutions mature
3.10.12 The unwired effect

3.11 Regional Opportunity

3.11.1 Asia/Pacific
3.11.2 Europe
3.11.3 Latin America & the Caribbean
3.11.4 Middle East & Africa
3.11.5 North America

3.12 Operators Globally using BWA

3.13 Market Figures

3.13.1 BWA global subscribers
3.13.2 BWA global service revenues and ARPU
3.13.3 BWA global subscribers by region and share by region
3.13.4 BWA global subscribers by band
3.13.5 BWA global CPE shipments, revenues and average selling price
3.13.6 BWA global CPE shipments by region
3.13.7 BWA global CPE shipments by operating frequency
3.13.6 BWA global base stations shipments and revenues
3.13.7 BWA global CPE and base station equipment revenues
3.13.8 BWA global market share

Section Four

Technology

4.1 Purpose

4.2 Air Interface Definitions

4.2.1 CDMA
4.2.2 TD-SCDMA
4.2.3 WCDMA
4.2.4 OFDM
4.2.5 OFDMA
4.2.6 OFDM with frequency hopping
4.2.7 W-OFDM
4.2.8 TDMA

4.3 Duplexing

4.3.1 TDD
4.3.2 FDD

4.4 Space-Time Processing and Smart Antenna Overview

4.4.1 Smart antennas defined
4.4.2 Space-time processing
4.4.3 Smart antenna terms and technologies

4.4.3.1 Active smart antennas
4.4.3.2 Beamforming
4.4.3.3 Diversity combining
4.4.3.4 Diversity (switched)
4.4.3.5 Maximum ratio combining
4.4.3.6 MIMO
4.4.3.7 Passive smart antennas
4.4.3.8 Polarization diversity
4.4.3.9 Spatial diversity
4.4.3.10 Spatial multiplexing
4.4.3.11 Switched beam

4.5 Other Enablers

4.5.1 Software defined radio
4.5.2 Adaptive modulation
4.5.3 Forward error correction
4.5.4 Fast automatic repeat request
4.5.5 Joint detection
4.5.6 Mesh networking

Section Five

Vendors

5.1 System Vendors

5.1.1 Arcwave
5.1.2 Adaptix, Inc.
5.1.3 Airspan Networks
5.1.4 Alphelion Communications
5.1.5 Alvarion
5.1.6 Aperto Networks
5.1.7 ArrayComm Incorporated
5.1.8 Avantech AMS (SpaceBridge, Akeilia Wireless)
5.1.9 Axxcelera Broadband Wireless
5.1.10 Beceem Communications, Incorporated
5.1.11 Cambridge Broadband Limited
5.1.12 Cirronet Incorporated
5.1.13 Colubris Networks (Kiwi Networks)
5.1.14 Flarion Technologies
5.1.15 InfiNet Wireless
5.1.16 Intracom
5.1.17 IP Wireless Incorporated
5.1.18 L3 Primewave Communications
5.1.19 LG Communications
5.1.20 Motorola Incorporated
5.1.21 Navini Networks
5.1.22 Nex-G Systems Pte. Ltd.
5.1.23 NextNet Wireless Incorporated
5.1.24 P-COM Incorporated
5.1.25 Proxim Corporation
5.1.26 Redline Communications Incorporated
5.1.27 Samsung
5.1.28 Sky Pilot Networks
5.1.29 SOMA Networks Incorporated
5.1.30 SR Telecom Incorporated
5.1.31 Trango Broadband Wireless
5.1.32 WaveRider Communications Incorporated
5.1.33 Wi-LAN Incorporated
5.1.34 WiNetworks Incorporated

5.2 Chipset Suppliers

5.2.1 Fujitsu Limited
5.2.2 Intel Corporation
5.2.3 PicoChip Designs Limited
5.2.4 Redpine Signals Incorporated
5.2.5 RF Magic
5.2.6 Runcom Technologies Limited
5.2.7 Sequans Communications
5.2.8 Sierra Monolithics Incorporated
5.2.9 Siwave Corporation
5.2.10 Wavesat Incorporated

Forecast and Figures

Section One

Table 1-1 802.16 Users and Subscriber Revenues, World Market 2004-2010
Table 1-2 802.16 Device (CPE) Shipments and Revenues, World Market 2004-2010
Table 1-3 802.16 Total Equipment (CPE and Base Station) Revenues, World Market 2004-2010
Table 1-4 Broadband Wireless Access Subscribers and Service Revenues, World Market 2004-2010
Table 1-5 Broadband Subscribers all Technologies, World Market 2004-2010
Table 1-6 Wireless Portion of all Broadband Subscribers, World Market 2004-2010
Table 1-7 Mobile Subscribers, World Market 2004-2010

Section Two

Table 2-1 802.16 Users and Service Revenues, World Market 2004-2010
Table 2-2 802.16 Users and Service Revenues, Asia-Pacific 2004-2010
Table 2-3 802.16 Users and Service Revenues, Europe 2004-2010
Table 2-4 802.16 Users and Service Revenues, North America 2004-2010
Table 2-5 802.16 Users and Service Revenues, Latin America 2004-2010
Table 2-6 802.16 Users and Service Revenues, Middle East and Africa 2004-2010
Table 2-7 802.16 Users by Revision (E or D), World Market 2004-2010
Table 2-8 802.16 Users, Residential vs. Commercial, World Market 2004-2010
Table 2-9 WiBro Users, World Market 2004-2010
Table 2-10 802.16 CPE Shipments and Revenues, World Market 2004-2010
Table 2-11 802.16 Device Shipments by Revision, 802.16d/a vs. 802.16e, World Market 2004-2010
Table 2-12 802.16 Compliant CPE Shipments and Revenues, 2.4 GHz band World Market 2004-2010
Table 2-13 802.16 CPE Shipments and Revenues, 2.5 GHz - 2.8 GHz band World Market 2004-2010
Table 2-14 802.16 CPE Shipments and Revenues, 3.4 GHz -3.8 GHz band World Market 2004-2010
Table 2-15 802.16 CPE Shipments and Revenues, 5 GHz -6 GHz World Market 2004-2010
Table 2-16 802.16 CPE Shipments and Revenues, Other Bands World Market 2004-2010
Table 2-17 802.16 Base Stations Deployments and Revenues World Market 2004-2010
Table 2-18 802.16 Total CPE and Base Station Revenues World Market 2004-2010
Table 2-19 802.16 Chipset Shipments and Revenues World Market 2004-2010

Section Three

Table 3-1 Broadband Wireless Access Subscribers and Service Revenues World Market 2004-2010
Table 3-2 Broadband Wireless Access Subscribers by Region & Global Share by Region, World Market 2004
Table 3-3 Broadband Wireless Access Subscribers by Region & Global Share by Region, World Market 2010
Table 3-4 Broadband Wireless Access Subscribers by Region World Market 2004-2010
Table 3-5 Broadband Wireless Access Subscribers by Frequency Band and Share by Frequency Band, World Market 2004
Table 3-6 Broadband Wireless Access Subscribers by Frequency Band and Share by Frequency Band, World Market 2004
Table 3-7 Broadband Wireless Access Subscribers by Frequency Band World Market 2004-2010
Table 3-8 Broadband Wireless Access, CPE Shipments and Shipment Revenues World Market 2004-2010
Table 3-9 Broadband Wireless Access, CPE Shipments by Region World Market 2004-2010
Table 3-10 Broadband Wireless Access, CPE Shipments by Band World Market 2004-2010
Table 3-11 Broadband Wireless Access, Base Station Deployments and Revenues World Market 2004-2010
Table 3-12 Broadband Wireless Access, Total Equipment Revenues World Market 2004-2010