Wireless 4G Technology
Beginning To Shape Up According to In-Stat
Other Topics: Voice over WiMAX,
WiMAX Forum Support,
WiMAX CPE Deal
In-Stat
August 20, 2007
Scottsdale, AZ -- Although an official definition of wireless 4G
technology will not be released until the 2008/2009 timeframe in the
form of the ITU’s IMT-Advanced requirements, there are already clear
contenders for the designation, reports In-Stat (http://www.in-stat.com).
The primary 4G technologies of the future are expected to be Long Term
Evolution (LTE), Ultra Mobile Broadband (UMB), and IEEE 802.16m WiMAX,
the high-tech market research firm says. |
“Companies are extremely
uncomfortable talking about ‘4G’ technologies, since the ITU has not
defined 4G yet,” says Gemma Tedesco, In-Stat analyst. “However, each of
the contending 4G technologies has a cheerleader, with Ericsson touting
LTE, Qualcomm preferring UMB, and Intel touting 802.16m WiMAX.”
Recent research by In-Stat found the following:
- Two widely expected requirements for
4G technologies are that they be OFDMA-based, and that they support
100Mbps for wide area mobile applications.
- With the dominant worldwide
technology currently being GSM/EDGE, and HSPA and EV-DO handsets not
expected to be dominant until 2012, 4G technology roll-outs will most
likely start in the 2010-2012 timeframe.
- It is widely believed that mobile
operators will initially deploy 4G very slowly, relying on their EV-DO
or HSPA networks to provide for more ubiquitous coverage.
- Drivers of LTE, UMB and 802.16m
WiMAX adoption will include the following: the re-allocation of older
spectrum for 4G technologies; the resolution of any WiMAX IPR issues;
the creation of FDD profiles for 802.16e WiMAX; the uptake rate of
802.16e in Mobile PCs; the uptake rate of 3G cellular in Mobile PCs;
the continued evolution of the mobile handset; and an increase in the
uptake rate of wireless broadband technologies into portable CE
devices.
- Realistically, initial
implementations of LTE, UMB and 802.16m WiMAX may fall short of
throughput and other expectations, with later enhancements, or even
some type of technology combination, actually bringing real 4G to the
table.
The research, “The Road to 4G: Will LTE,
UMB and WiMAX Just Be Stops Along the Way?” (#IN0703689GW), examines
possible 4G technologies, and the drivers that will influence the uptake
of each of these technologies. It provides forecasts of cellular handset
chipsets per technology, 3G cellular modems in mobile PCs, and 802.16e
mobile WiMAX chipset shipments through 2011. It also contains background
information about contending 4G technologies and analysis of the current
cellular and WiMAX markets. Profiles of vendors driving contending 4G
technologies are included. In addition to the report, Gemma and other
In-Stat analysts provide consulting services on a variety of technical
and market topics regarding the semiconductor and electronics
industries.
For more information on this research or to purchase it online, please
visit:
http://www.in-stat.com/catalog/Wcatalogue.asp?id=29#IN0703689GW or
contact a sales representative: Eastern North America: Tina Sheltra,
480.609.4531; tina.sheltra@reedbusiness.com Western North America:
Elaine Potter, 480.483.4441; epotter@reedbusiness.com Outside of North
America: http://www.instat.com/sales.asp
The price is $2,995 (US).
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